GM(1,1)灰色模型、马尔可夫链模型及其组合模型和SARIMA模型在甲肝发病数预测中的应用效果比较
刘天, 王芸, 姚梦雷, 黄继贵, 吴杨, 童叶青
Comparisons of GM(1,1) gray model, Markov chain model, their combined model, and SARIMA model in predicting monthly reported caseload of hepatitis A
LIU Tian, WANG Yun, YAO Meng-lei, HUANG Ji-gui, WU Yang, TONG Ye-qing
华南预防医学 . 2019, (2): 128 -132 .  DOI: 10.13217/j.scjpm.2019.0128