华南预防医学 ›› 2016, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (5): 413-416.doi: 10.13217/j.scjpm.2016.0413

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

广州市2004—2011年女性乳腺癌发病流行趋势分析

宋韶芳,李科,林国桢,李燕,董航,梁颖茹,许欢,王穗湘,刘华章   

  1. 广州市疾病预防控制中心,广东 广州 510440
  • 收稿日期:2016-03-11 出版日期:2016-11-16 发布日期:2016-12-02
  • 作者简介:宋韶芳(1977—),女,硕士研究生,主管医师, 主要从事疾病控制工作

Prevelant trend in incidence of female breast cancer in Guangzhou, 2004—2011

SONG Shao-fang, LI Ke, LIN Guo-zhen, LI Yan, DONG Hang, LIANG Yin-ru, XU Huan, WANG Sui-xiang, LIU Hua-zhang   

  1. 1.Guangzhou Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine,Guangzhou 510010, China;2.Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention;3.Fogang Center for Disease Control and Prevention
  • Received:2016-03-11 Online:2016-11-16 Published:2016-12-02

摘要: 目的分析2004—2011年广州市发性乳腺癌的发病现况和时间变化趋势,为预防控制工作提供依据。方法采用广州市恶性肿瘤病例登记报告管理信息系统收集广州市2004—2011年发性乳腺癌发病资料,计算发病率,并采用Segi’s世界标准人口进行标化。采用Joinpoint Regression Program 4.2.0.2统计软件计算年度变化百分比(APC),并对其进行时间趋势分析。结果2004—2011年广州市共报告女性乳腺癌新发病例14 279例,乳腺癌发病粗率从2004年的46.29/10万上升到2011年的51.49/10万,增加了11.23%,APC为1.62%(95%CI:0.30%~2.90%)。广州女性乳腺癌发病率出现2个发病高峰,第1个高峰出现在50~54岁之间,另1个高峰出现在70~74岁之间,并且绝经前峰值明显高于绝经期后。55~59和75~79岁年龄组的APC分别是2.99%(95%CI:0.01%~6.01%)与4.36%(95%CI:2.15%~6.53%)。结论广州市乳腺癌发病率呈现快速增长,应加强乳腺癌的防治研究,尤其对中年女性乳腺癌防控工作亟待加强。

Abstract: ObjectiveTo analyze the prevelant trend in incidence of breast cancer in Guangzhou during 2004-2011.MethodsThe incidence rates of breast cancer were calculated by analyzing data obtained from Guangzhou Cancer Registration Center. Standardized rates were calculated using the Segi's world standard population. Jointpoint Regression Program (4.2.0.2) was used to calculate the annual percentage change (APC). ResultsA total of 14 279 new cases of breast cancer were registered in Guangzhou City from 2004 to 2011. The crude incidence of breast cancer increased from 46.29/100 000 population in 2004 to 51.49/100 000 in 2011, increasing by 11.23%, and the APC was 1.62% (95%CI: 0.30%-2.90%). Two peaks in the incidence of breast cancer were observed, the first peak in the 50-64 year age group and the second in the 70-74 year age group, and the peak before menopause was obviously higher than that after menopause. APCs were 2.99% (95%CI:0.01%-6.01%) in the age group 55-59 years and 4.36% (95%CI:2.15%-6.53%) in the age group 75-79 years. ConclusionThe incidence of breast cancer in Guangzhou increased at a faster rate. The prevention and control of breast cancer should be strengthened.

中图分类号: 

  • R173