华南预防医学 ›› 2026, Vol. 52 ›› Issue (1): 12-17.doi: 10.12183/j.scjpm.2026.0012

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

2019—2023年临沧市其他感染性腹泻病流行特征及时空聚集分析

赵丹妮1, 陈金瓯2, 李华昌1, 顾娅芬1, 殷红敏1, 杨敏1, 杨世满1, 仇娜1, 杨丽1, 易彬1   

  1. 1.临沧市疾病预防控制中心,云南 临沧 677000;
    2.云南省疾病预防控制中心
  • 收稿日期:2025-01-03 出版日期:2026-01-20 发布日期:2026-02-06
  • 通讯作者: 易彬,E-mail:88227311@qq.com
  • 作者简介:赵丹妮(1997—),女,硕士研究生,医师,研究方向为分子流行病学;陈金瓯(1986—),男,硕士研究生,副主任医师,研究方向为传染病流行病学。赵丹妮与陈金瓯同为第一作者

Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal clustering of other infectious diarrhea diseases in Lincang, 2019-2023

Zhao Danni1, Chen Jinou2, Li Huachang1, Gu Yafen1, Yin Hongmin1, Yang Min1, Yang Shiman1, Qiu Na1, Yang Li1, Yi Bin1   

  1. 1. Lincang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Lincang, Yunnan 677000, China;
    2. Yunnan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention
  • Received:2025-01-03 Online:2026-01-20 Published:2026-02-06

摘要: 目的 分析2019—2023年临沧市其他感染性腹泻病流行病学特征及时空聚集分布特点,为制定精准、高效的防控措施提供科学依据。方法 从中国疾病预防控制信息系统以发病时间为依据收集2019—2023年临沧市其他感染性腹泻病监测数据,采用描述性流行病学方法分析三间分布特征,对各乡镇报告发病率进行全局及局部空间自相关分析,并进行时空聚集分析。结果 临沧市2019—2023年共报告其他感染性腹泻病6 962例,年平均报告发病率为57.67/10万;男性报告发病率高于女性(P<0.01),其中5岁以下儿童发病占比最高(6 161/6 962,88.49%)。发病具有明显季节高峰,每年各月份流行趋势基本一致,但各年的高峰期略有不同,主要集中2—4月。年平均报告发病率排名前3位的县(区)分别为临翔区(139.01/10万)、凤庆县(78.01/10万)、云县(53.40/10万)。实验室样本采集检测率为64.00%(4 456/6 962),受检样本病原检出占比前3位依次为轮状病毒(89.03%,3 967/4 456)、腺病毒(5.27%,235/4 456)、诺如病毒(4.71%,210/4 456)。发病存在空间聚集性,“高–高”聚集区主要分布在临翔区、凤庆县、云县的5~11个乡镇,且整体呈逐年缩小趋势;“低-低”聚集区主要分布在耿马县及其交界地区的3~12个乡镇,随着年份推移,聚集范围逐渐缩小,且从西南方向逐渐向中部乃至西北方向移动。时空扫描聚集区域与空间自相关分析结果基本吻合。结论 2019—2023年临沧市其他感染性腹泻病的报告发病率在时空上呈聚集区域分布,针对高发季节及地区,应加强重点人群的健康教育,因地制宜,制定科学、精准的防控策略。

关键词: 其他感染性腹泻, 流行特征, 三间分布, 空间自相关, 时空聚集性

Abstract: Objective To investigate the epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal distribution patterns of other infectious diarrheal diseases in Lincang City from 2019 to 2023, thereby providing a scientific basis for the formulation of precise and efficacious prevention and control strategies. Methods Surveillance data on other infectious diarrheal diseases in Lincang City from 2019 to 2023 were extracted from the Chinese Information System for Disease Control and Prevention, based on the date of onset. Descriptive epidemiological methods were employed to analyze the distribution by person, place, and time. Global and local spatial autocorrelation analyses were performed on township-level reported incidence rates, supplemented by a spatiotemporal cluster analysis. Results A total of 6 962 cases of other infectious diarrheal diseases were reported in Lincang City from 2019 to 2023, corresponding to an average annual reported incidence rate of 57.67 per 100 000 population. The reported incidence was significantly higher in males than in females (P<0.01), with children under the age of five constituting the largest proportion of cases (6 161/6 962, 88.49%). The incidence exhibited distinct seasonal peaks; while the epidemic trend was generally consistent across months annually, the peak periods varied slightly, primarily occurring between February and April. The three counties (districts) with the highest average annual reported incidence rates were Linxiang District (139.01/100 000), Fengqing County (78.01/100 000), and Yun County (53.40/100 000). The rate of laboratory specimen collection and testing was 64.00% (4 456/6 962). Among the tested specimens, the three most frequently detected pathogens were rotavirus (89.03%, 3 967/4 456), adenovirus (5.27%, 235/4 456), and norovirus (4.71%, 210/4 456). A significant spatial aggregation in disease incidence was identified. High-High (H-H) clusters were predominantly located in 5 to 11 townships within Linxiang District, Fengqing County, and Yun County, with these clusters demonstrating a progressive year-on-year reduction in size. Low-Low (L-L) clusters were primarily situated in 3 to 12 townships in Gengma County and its contiguous areas; over time, these clusters also diminished in scope and migrated from the southwest towards the central and northwestern regions. The findings of the spatiotemporal scan analysis were highly concordant with those of the spatial autocorrelation analysis. Conclusion The reported incidence of other infectious diarrheal diseases in Lincang City from 2019 to 2023 exhibited a clustered spatiotemporal distribution. It is imperative to enhance health education for key populations during high-risk seasons and in high-incidence regions, and to develop scientific, precise, and context-specific prevention and control strategies.

Key words: Other infectious diarrhea, Epidemiological characteristics, Distribution by person, place, and time, Spatial autocorrelation, Spatiotemporal clustering

中图分类号: 

  • R183.4