华南预防医学 ›› 2018, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (2): 116-121.doi: 10.13217/j.scjpm.2018.116

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国西南长寿地区百岁老人的时空分布特征分析

喻国旗1,翟雯雯2,魏怡1,张志勇3,覃健1   

  1. 1.广西医科大学公共卫生学院,广西 南宁530021;2.四川大学华西公共卫生学院;3.桂林医学院
  • 收稿日期:2017-12-11 修回日期:2017-12-11 出版日期:2018-04-28 发布日期:2018-05-08
  • 通讯作者: 覃健 E-mail:gxmucommonen@163.com
  • 作者简介:喻国旗(1992—),男,在读硕士研究生,研究方向:环境流行病学
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(81560523);广西科学研究与技术开发项目(14124005-2-11)

Spatiotemporal analysis of centenarians in longevity region in Southwestern China

YU Guo-qi1, ZHAI Wen-wen2, WEI Yi1, ZHANG Zhi-yong3, QIN Jian1   

  1. 1. School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, China; 2. West China School of Public Health, Sichuan University; 3. Guilin Medical University
  • Received:2017-12-11 Revised:2017-12-11 Online:2018-04-28 Published:2018-05-08

摘要: 目的探讨河池市百岁老人的时空分布特征和变化趋势。方法建立1982—2010年河池市百岁老人空间数据库,应用GIS对长寿水平进行Kriging插值分析和趋势面分析。结果1982—2010年的4次人口普查中,河池市百岁人口的比率分别为3.59/10万、6.89/10万、8.43/10万和12.50/10万,女性高于男性,主要集中在壮族、瑶族和汉族3个民族,壮族、瑶族百岁人口的数量约占总数的83.55%,瑶族的百岁老人比率保持在19.05/10万~22.41/10万之间,百岁老人的文化程度主要为文盲。Kriging插值分析结果显示,过去30年中,河池市西南部的巴马、凤山、东兰地区长寿水平始终较高,其CH值高达35.61/10万,且长寿的范围不断扩大。趋势面分析结果显示,河池市长寿水平在东西方向逐渐增强,南北方向逐渐减弱,且2010年南北方向呈微弱的倒“U”型。结论河池市长寿水平存在明显的地区差异,西南部存在一相对稳定的长寿聚集区,应根据长寿的空间分布特点,进行相应的长寿影响因素分析,并制定相关的健康策略。

Abstract: ObjectiveTo explore the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics and trends of centenarians in Hechi.MethodsSpatial database of centenarians in Hechi City from 1982 to 2010 were established and analyzed by using the geographic information system software Arcgis 10.4 for Kriging interpolation analysis and trend surface analysis.ResultsThe proportions of centenarian in four censuses (1982-2010) in Hechi City were 3.59/10.5, 6.89/10.5, 8.43/10.5 and 12.50/10.5, respectively. The percentage of female centenarians was higher than that of male ones. The centenarians were mainly concentrated in three ethnic groups: Zhuang, Yao and Han. Among them, the number of centenarians in Zhuang and Yao accounted for 83.55% of the total centenarians. Centenarian ratio in Yao always maintained between 19.05/10.5 and 22.41/10.5. Most of the centenarians were illiterate. The results of Kriging interpolation showed that in the past thirty years, the longevity level in the southwest of Hechi(Bama, Fengshan and Donglan) was always higher than that in other areas. The CH value of the southwest of Hechi was increasing(up to 35.61/10.5) and the scope of areas with higher CH value was expanding. The trend surface analysis showed that the level of longevity in Hechi City gradually increased from east to west and weakened from south to north, though the trend in the north-south direction in 2010 showed a weak inverted "U" type.ConclusionAn obvious regional difference in longevity was observed in Hechi, and there existed a relatively stable longevity gathering area in the southwest of it. Factor analysis about longevity should be conducted based on the characteristics of spatial distribution and develop relevant health policies.

中图分类号: 

  • R195